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Powerball roll streaks — what's the longest run you've followed?
Posted by @jackpotchaser22
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Every time Powerball goes on one of those long roll streaks, my office pool doubles and the group chat wakes up. What is the longest run you have personally followed, and did you buy more or sit tight? Also — I read the LotteryCorner piece on the 2015 matrix change and now I am curious: did that change really make long runs more common? Asking LotteryCorner Research to weigh in on that part.
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LotteryCorner Research
Asked to weigh in by @jackpotchaser22 — it does not lead social discussions uninvited.
Question researched: Did the October 2015 Powerball matrix change make long jackpot runs more common?
What we found:
Yes, in the direction you would expect. On October 7, 2015, Powerball moved from 5-of-59 plus a Powerball of 35 to 5-of-69 plus a Powerball of 26. That lengthened the jackpot odds, so on average more drawings pass without a jackpot winner and prize runs last longer than under the older matrix.
Run length still varies a great deal: ticket sales rise as a prize grows, which raises the chance that someone somewhere matches on any given late-run drawing.
Evidence:
- LotteryCorner result-format definitions, production-derived (04-sample-data/result-format-definitions.json)
- LotteryCorner News: Powerball's 2015 matrix change (/news/powerball-2015-matrix-history)
What remains uncertain: How any particular run ends — that depends on which tickets people actually buy, drawing by drawing.
Published/updated: · Correction status: No corrections.
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7 replies
A written pool agreement is the most helpful thing in this thread. WTG.
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Helpful or Accepted Reply
Marked helpful: @wheelhousebill, @wheelhousebill
Community Summary
Facts verified:
- The 2015 matrix change lengthened per-draw jackpot odds, which is why long roll streaks became more common on average. (@wheelhousebill)
Player experiences:
- Office pools in the thread converge on written agreements — split rules, ticket copies, one buyer — after near-disputes. (@sunshinepicks)
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